Free · updated every weekday · Australian dollar vs New Zealand dollar
AUD/NZD sentiment today
Where the retail crowd stands on AUD/NZD, what the QDB Score says, and how the big speculators are positioned. Read together, in plain English.
Today's read: Bullish lean
Retail crowd
The retail crowd is 75% short. Most of them need price to go down, so the contrarian lean is bullish.
QDB Score
The QDB Score is 5/12, neutral. No call either way.
COT (weekly)
Large speculators show no strong bias between the two (COT score -5).
One rule above all: only act at strong daily or weekly supply and demand levels. Sentiment tells you who is likely to be wrong. The level tells you where.
The crowd over time
Retail % long at each daily snapshot. Above the dashed line the crowd is mostly long, below it mostly short. Watch the direction of travel as much as the level.
The history chart builds up one day at a time from the first snapshot. Check back tomorrow.
What the big speculators hold
COT index for each currency: where large speculators' net position sits in its 3-year range, 0 = most short, 100 = most long. Positions on Tuesday 3 November 2026.
In the QDB Sheet, live
This page is a once-a-day snapshot. Members see AUD/NZD update every 15 minutes, alongside the rest of the board.
AUD/NZD sentiment questions
Are retail traders long or short AUD/NZD?
At the latest snapshot, 25% of retail traders were long and 75% short. The page updates every weekday at about 5pm UK.
Why read retail sentiment as contrarian?
Most retail traders lose, and they tend to buy falling markets and sell rising ones. When the crowd piles onto one side, the stops and losing positions on that side become fuel for a move the other way. That is why a crowd that is heavily long is read as bearish.
Should I trade on sentiment alone?
No. A crowd can stay wrong for a long time. QDB only acts on sentiment at strong daily or weekly supply and demand levels, and treats it as one input next to the QDB Score and the COT positioning above.
What is the QDB Score?
A 0 to 12 score for each pair that combines retail positioning, how it is shifting and the trend. 7 or more reads bullish, 3 or less bearish. The guides explain how it works.
Other pairs
Crowd % long at the latest snapshot. Red: crowd heavily long (contrarian bearish). Green: crowd heavily short (contrarian bullish).
Crowd data: QDB Sheet daily snapshot. COT: CFTC Commitments of Traders, Legacy futures-only. Educational only, not financial advice. Trading on margin carries a high level of risk. Back to QDB Trading Desk